Monstrous-Inclusion
0xc6bff0020a9a48f0f650c57048e6f3764debdbe7
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$689.33
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$82.58
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
1019 shares @ 52.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$443.37
$-86.63
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 30.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$34.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
92 shares @ 54.5¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.41
$-15.59
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
38 shares @ 65.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$33.08
$8.08
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
55 shares @ 55.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$28.09
$-1.91
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
69 shares @ 36.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$22.57
$-2.43
- YES
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
191 shares @ 13.1¢·now 11.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$22.23
$-2.77
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
715 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$20.37
$4.37
- LINDBLAD
Who will finish higher: Lindblad or Lawson?
51 shares @ 43.2¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$18.83
$-3.17
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$18.61
$-1.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$3.00Jul 23, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?$48.68Jul 23, 08:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 21, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 21, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will finish higher: Lindblad or Lawson?$10.31Jul 21, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$30.00Jul 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$20.00Jul 21, 20:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will finish higher: Lindblad or Lawson?$12.31Jul 20, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$48.00Jul 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$37.39Jul 19, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$19.19Jul 19, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$2.38Jul 19, 13:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$9.42Jul 18, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$10.46Jul 18, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$5.25Jul 18, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $21.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.