Crazy-Architecture
0xc6c88053dae2cf3ce194ba4d2e1182f69b089102
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.14
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
13200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
3365 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2179 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1165 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-582.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 12, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 12, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 12, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Democrats win between 60 and 64 seats in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election?$1.01Dec 12, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.03Dec 12, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats win between 60 and 64 seats in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election?$1.00Dec 1, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Nov 29, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$2.4KNov 18, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$3.50Nov 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$25.00Nov 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$100.00Nov 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$20.00Nov 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$25.50Nov 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$3.6KNov 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.2KNov 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$600.00Nov 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$582.29Nov 18, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$488.67Nov 18, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$691.83Nov 18, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $485.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 01:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.