Occasional-Strawberry
0xc6c8bf649a7080f8d140c30dcb91a7fa144f140e
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-223.54
Realised
$6.03
Win rate
52%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
48 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
27 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Czechia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
22 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.04Jul 11, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.05Jul 11, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.17Jul 11, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.04Jul 11, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Jul 11, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.26Jul 11, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.03Jul 11, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.04Jul 11, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.97Jul 11, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.04Jul 11, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.49Jul 11, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.05Jul 11, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.34Jul 11, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.05Jul 11, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.29Jul 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.05Jul 11, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.69Jul 10, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.04Jul 10, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$0.58Jul 10, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.04Jul 10, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
52% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
31 closed markets, 52% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 17:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.