0xc6ce36c86e186d325e41e1cbd2c8605901c8149f
0xc6ce36c86e186d325e41e1cbd2c8605901c8149f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$52.83
Total PnL
$-85.78
Realised
$-43.17
Win rate
28%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 15?
28 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$27.50
$0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 15?
12 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$12.14
$0.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 15?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$5.30
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?
5 shares @ 70.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$5.02
$1.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?
3 shares @ 34.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$2.87
$1.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 11?
361 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 15?
50 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 12?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 15?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?
19 shares @ 75.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 12?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 13?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on March 12?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 15?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 11?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 15?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 11?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 15?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 15?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 15?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 12?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 15?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 11?$0.00Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?$2.75Mar 16, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?$0.63Mar 16, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.