Perfumed-Sweatshop
0xc6d3be2b101cab3e84c7f678932747c860fcfb54
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-103.66
Realised
$-2.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?
379 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
273 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
191 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
163 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
129 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
63 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?$5.78Apr 21, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Apr 21, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?$6.78Apr 21, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?$3.98Apr 20, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMDeni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5$3.98Apr 20, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5$1.70Apr 19, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$13.00Apr 15, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$1.00Apr 15, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia 76ers advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament?$5.00Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$10.00Apr 15, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Apr 15, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$8.24Mar 2, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducks (W)$8.23Mar 2, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducks (W)$3.03Mar 1, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLTrail Blazers vs. Hawks$3.03Mar 1, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducks (W)$1.60Mar 1, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Nets$1.00Mar 1, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTrail Blazers vs. Hawks$2.60Mar 1, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMJoao Pedro: Anytime Goalscorer$0.00Mar 1, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMVictor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5$0.00Mar 1, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 20:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.