Livid-Anthropology
0xc6d8307e6ae7ea08738929d64deb900eadf3b90d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$402.93
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-823.77
Win rate
24%
129 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 22?
64 shares @ 70.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$64.10
$18.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 22?
60 shares @ 86.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$59.59
$7.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 22?
53 shares @ 88.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$52.51
$5.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 22?
37 shares @ 57.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$36.81
$15.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?
36 shares @ 78.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$36.18
$7.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 22?
36 shares @ 90.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$36.05
$3.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 22?
34 shares @ 47.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$30.44
$14.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?
33 shares @ 50.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$27.93
$11.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 22?
27 shares @ 93.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$26.88
$1.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?
30 shares @ 57.6¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$11.02
$-6.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?$7.04Jul 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?$19.27Jul 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?$4.98Jul 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?$1.09Jul 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?$3.25Jul 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?$3.29Jul 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?$2.10Jul 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?$0.57Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?$2.71Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?$1.42Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?$1.17Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?$1.53Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 22?$23.53Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 22?$3.75Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 22?$5.35Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?$2.74Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?$0.72Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?$2.17Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 22?$3.07Jul 22, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 22?$25.10Jul 22, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
63/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 129 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
129 closed markets, 24% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 12:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 129 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.