Honorable-Culvert
0xc6e0871080691162bbff208f79ed7980e013619a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-220.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 11?
2000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-139.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10?
1000 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?
465 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-24.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 25?
60 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 27?
54 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$52.46Jun 15, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$51.91Jun 14, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$34.33Jun 14, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 24?$35.00Mar 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?$0.32Mar 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?$10.89Mar 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?$0.17Mar 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?$2.64Mar 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?$0.14Mar 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?$0.04Mar 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 27?$5.38Mar 22, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 24?$4.39Mar 20, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?$0.05Mar 20, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?$8.65Mar 20, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?$1.45Mar 20, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 24?$7.61Mar 20, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 25?$10.20Mar 20, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 16?$0.00Mar 20, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16?$28.00Mar 14, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16?$4.00Mar 14, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 12:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.