Acidic-Passive
0xc6e9b729c9b1cc1166e7467ec36bd1fae0f81f83
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$6.72
Total PnL
$-131.49
Realised
$-29.36
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$4.43
$2.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?
5 shares @ 26.5¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.25
$1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?
52 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.03
$-1.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?
49 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.02
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 67°F or below on July 27?
2115 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-35.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 87°F or below on July 27?
1403 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-28.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 27?
1039 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 27?
134 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?
38 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 27?
31 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?$3.69Jul 28, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?$0.00Jul 28, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?$0.00Jul 28, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?$0.46Jul 28, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?$1.15Jul 28, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?$1.04Jul 28, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?$1.20Jul 28, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?$0.26Jul 28, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 27?$7.81Jul 28, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?$1.20Jul 28, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 27?$1.07Jul 28, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?$0.26Jul 28, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?$1.20Jul 28, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?$0.30Jul 28, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?$2.20Jul 28, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 27?$2.58Jul 28, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 27?$0.02Jul 27, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 67°F or below on July 27?$0.04Jul 27, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 27?$1.32Jul 27, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 67°F or below on July 27?$1.32Jul 27, 18:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.