0xc6eaba9f43d445864006fabdc7dbdd9101356ebb
0xc6eaba9f43d445864006fabdc7dbdd9101356ebb
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$-400.67
Win rate
0%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-111.65
- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55820 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-55.77
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5063 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-293.63
- YES
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2675 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-53.50
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1779 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-224.19
- BELGIUM
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)
1330 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-32.11
- YES
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
1267 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.52
- YES
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
1217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-28.11
- YES
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
1021 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-112.35
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
980 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-225.41
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.17Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$72.45Aug 10, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$103.58Aug 10, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$27.80Aug 10, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$22.12Aug 10, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$57.68Aug 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$22.85Aug 10, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$46.08Aug 10, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$193.79Aug 10, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$115.12Aug 10, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$57.58Aug 10, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$46.24Aug 10, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$34.40Aug 10, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$158.75Aug 9, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$57.51Aug 9, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$45.81Aug 9, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$45.98Aug 9, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$57.59Aug 8, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$197.42Aug 7, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$104.59Aug 7, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 81 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
81 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $74.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.