0xc6eaba9f43d445864006fabdc7dbdd9101356ebb
0xc6eaba9f43d445864006fabdc7dbdd9101356ebb
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$794.88
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- OVER
Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5
366 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$365.81
$139.01
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1779 shares @ 12.6¢·now 10.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$185.94
$-38.25
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5063 shares @ 5.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$184.78
$-108.84
- YES
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
1217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$30.42
$2.31
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.93
$-83.78
- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55820 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-55.82
- YES
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
1021 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-112.35
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
980 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-225.41
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
867 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-233.99
- OVER
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5
580 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-202.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$246.13Jun 28, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$58.91Jun 28, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5$236.19Jun 27, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5$177.19Jun 27, 19:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$127.64Jun 25, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$117.88Jun 25, 13:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-1.5)$117.92Jun 23, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5$106.79Jun 23, 10:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5$177.80Jun 22, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5$284.58Jun 22, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5$174.50Jun 22, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$23.69Jun 22, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5$212.91Jun 22, 07:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $130.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 00:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.