Pertinent-Dogsled
0xc6fa4f0707f073199bc4452daa7a3dafc14a44cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-101.67
Realised
$-0.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-04?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-01?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will CF Montréal win on 2025-10-04?
32 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?
18 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
14 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?$15.68Jul 19, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$125.00Jul 15, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$10.46Jul 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-01?$20.00Dec 1, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$2.00Oct 16, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.00Oct 16, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$2.00Oct 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$12.61Oct 5, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atalanta vs. Como end in a draw?$5.56Oct 5, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlotte FC win on 2025-10-04?$20.41Oct 5, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CF Montréal win on 2025-10-04?$20.00Oct 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC win on 2025-10-04?$20.00Oct 4, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta vs. Como end in a draw?$2.00Oct 4, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-04?$10.00Oct 4, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYYieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?$20.00Oct 4, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$10.00Oct 3, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?$10.00Oct 3, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$2.14Oct 3, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$5.17Oct 3, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$5.00Oct 2, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $9.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.