Knowing-Slash
0xc70166da80e27be290feb40e36371eeb36edc044
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.50
Total PnL
$-13.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.54
$-0.66
- YES
Will Virgil van Dijk win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Erling Haaland sign with a new club during the transfer window?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.02Jul 15, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?$1.05Jul 15, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$2.10Jul 15, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?$1.00Jul 15, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$1.00Jul 15, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?$1.00May 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$1.32May 8, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $250M one day after launch?$1.21May 8, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.14May 8, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$4.25Dec 16, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$20.00Dec 15, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$2.44Dec 15, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$1.00Sep 30, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abstract launch a token in 2025?$1.00Sep 30, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.00Sep 30, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.00Sep 30, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon register the America Party in July?$1.23Sep 19, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Sep 19, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 12:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.