Unlawful-Cushion
0xc711d5ab7f99baca3b5ce62fa820878c8b08253d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$8.25
Total PnL
$-6.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.41
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.69
$0.01
- NO
Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.48
$0.05
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.42
$0.01
- NO
Will Craig Nash win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$1.25
$-0.00
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 5AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $270?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Craig Nash win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?$1.25Jul 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$1.43Jul 11, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$1.41Jul 5, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30?$1.68Jun 29, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?$1.32Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$1.02Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$1.08Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$1.08Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.14Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.17Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.31Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?$1.41Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.43Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?$1.54Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.27Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?$1.07Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$1.07Jun 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.27Jun 1, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$1.07May 9, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?$1.54Apr 30, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 00:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 04:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.