Dearest-Translation
0xc722c1a1a0bfddf4e0edb3286f7ebce127221334
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-330.35
Realised
$116.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$589.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
9200 shares @ 10.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$506.00
$-463.86
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$411.00
$-589.00
- YES
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
10020 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$165.33
$24.79
- YES
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
1000 shares @ 14.3¢·now 13.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$131.50
$-11.50
- NO
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
130 shares @ 12.3¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.46
$3.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$12.95Aug 19, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$1.05Aug 19, 01:47 UTC
- REWARD$2.14Aug 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 19, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$5.95Aug 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?$21.00Aug 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$180.00Aug 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$200.00Aug 18, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$4.83Aug 18, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.45Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?$1.13Aug 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?$18.87Aug 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$56.41Aug 17, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$1.00Aug 17, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$162.59Aug 17, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$200.00Aug 17, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$6.03Aug 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$8.43Aug 17, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $68.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 15:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.