Dearest-Translation
0xc722c1a1a0bfddf4e0edb3286f7ebce127221334
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.6K
Total PnL
$-0.24
Realised
$33.21
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.3K
$2.6K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$-2.6K
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
2502 shares @ 15.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$362.72
$-26.04
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$324.99
$15.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$130.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$117.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
188 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$72.37
$0.94
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
188 shares @ 17.2¢·now 21.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.51
$7.22
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
92 shares @ 12.8¢·now 12.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.83
$0.05
- NO
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
24 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.51
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$94.64Jun 19, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$35.36Jun 19, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.40Jun 19, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$150.00Jun 19, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$145.00Jun 19, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$168.00Jun 19, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$58.00Jun 19, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$60.00Jun 19, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$12.70Jun 19, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$58.74Jun 19, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$0.15Jun 19, 01:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.21Jun 19, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jun 19, 00:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Jun 19, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$40.55Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar to win the second half?$3.42Jun 18, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar to win the second half?$0.38Jun 18, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar to win the second half?$1.20Jun 18, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?$0.11Jun 18, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?$2.28Jun 18, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $42.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.