Instructive-Scratch
0xc7244f160836a5c11473fef306ab6d8c2fe676ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$47.00
Total PnL
$-322.47
Realised
$-1.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
47 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$47.00
$12.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 22-23°F on February 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on February 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on February 3?
479 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
102 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$14.05Mar 4, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$1.00Mar 1, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.05Mar 1, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.45Mar 1, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.15Mar 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.15Mar 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.15Feb 28, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$3.00Feb 28, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$10.00Feb 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$12.60Feb 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$34.78Feb 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$29.67Feb 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$35.00Feb 20, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$39.00Feb 20, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$4.99Feb 19, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$10.00Feb 19, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".