Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.3K

Realised

$-2.35

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 47

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
3357 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026
$0.00
$-8.65
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
1300 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-14.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
654 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-37.97
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
340 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026
$0.00
$-98.93
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
314 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-19.98
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
253 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-27.13
YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
240 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-51.04
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
240 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-29.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
232 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-42.76

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$147.03Feb 28, 03:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$20.00Feb 28, 03:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$30.00Feb 28, 03:20 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$197.03Feb 28, 03:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$2.17Feb 28, 03:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$100.00Feb 28, 03:11 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$98.56Feb 28, 03:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$40.00Feb 28, 01:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$20.00Feb 28, 01:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$40.00Feb 28, 01:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$16.43Feb 28, 01:00 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$45.81Feb 28, 01:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$30.00Feb 28, 00:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$20.00Feb 28, 00:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$20.00Feb 28, 00:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$111.21Feb 28, 00:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$10.00Feb 28, 00:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$70.00Feb 28, 00:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$31.31Feb 28, 00:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$20.00Feb 28, 00:31 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry53 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk51 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 34
Avg trade size: $24.61
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 27, 23:02 UTC
Last active: Feb 28, 03:26 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:34:04 UTC·src:Polymarket Data