Shabby-Brush
0xc72d19065c3e443a0aa82214a978e1d2dc4416a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard resign by Friday?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?
217 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel strike on Iran on June 28?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will TikTok be banned before July?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base before August?
51 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEmmanuel & Brigitte Macron divorce in 2025?$1.50Jul 24, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Jul 24, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files before August?$2.00Jul 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?$1.00Jul 5, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before August?$1.00Jul 5, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa before August? $1.00Jul 5, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?$1.00Jul 5, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?$1.00Jul 5, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?$1.00Jul 5, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1.00Jul 2, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 30?$1.00Jun 30, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 28?$1.00Jun 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27? $1.30Jun 28, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" again in June?$1.00Jun 27, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before July?$1.50Jun 27, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base before August?$2.50Jun 26, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $2.50Jun 26, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$5.00Jun 26, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.50Jun 26, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 27?$1.00Jun 26, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.