Artistic-Caffeine-Purity
0xc73a062d81d59b337c7077c4a535743ec9f8f47f
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-112.91
Realised
$-4.21
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 6?
813 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on July 9?
784 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 11?
578 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 6?
370 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 7?
172 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 9?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?
106 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?$5.19Jul 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?$4.19Jul 13, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?$5.88Jul 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?$10.40Jul 11, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 11?$10.49Jul 11, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 9?$5.24Jul 8, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 9?$5.22Jul 8, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on July 9?$5.25Jul 8, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 7?$5.23Jul 5, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 7?$5.21Jul 5, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 7?$5.24Jul 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 6?$5.25Jul 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 6?$5.23Jul 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 6?$5.25Jul 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 5, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 5, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$10.13Jul 5, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.00Jul 4, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.22Jul 4, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?$2.08Jul 4, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $5.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.