Organic-Vacation
0xc73dc0316a597dfccce724881fe93efeeb57565a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
86
Open notional
$4.29
Total PnL
$-816.98
Realised
$-0.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$3.57
$-1.43
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on April 1?
249 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on April 4?
236 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 1?
206 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-194.62
- YES
Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
126 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 6?
120 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-48.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 1?
86 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.38
- YES
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$54.17Apr 14, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?$14.36Apr 8, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 6?$43.20Apr 8, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on April 5?$12.35Apr 5, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 5?$0.03Apr 5, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 5?$13.32Apr 5, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 5?$0.19Apr 5, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 5?$24.63Apr 5, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 5?$42.18Apr 5, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 6?$8.00Apr 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 6?$20.00Apr 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 6?$6.00Apr 5, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 6?$20.00Apr 5, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 6?$6.00Apr 5, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 6?$20.00Apr 5, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 5?$12.32Apr 5, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 4?$8.01Apr 5, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on April 4?$11.48Apr 5, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $13.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 07:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".