Clueless-Tailor
0xc74d14f0ca97dcad139a346cea4235a9d0d8ad56
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$7.89
Total PnL
$-0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 86.9¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.88
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00May 7, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?$1.00May 7, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00May 7, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$1.00May 7, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.01May 7, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.01May 7, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$1.03May 7, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$1.00Apr 20, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Apr 20, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$1.00Apr 20, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.00Apr 20, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.00Apr 20, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Apr 20, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 20, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 20, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 20, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 20, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 20, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 1, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 1, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.