Extra-Small-Hardhat
0xc74df9e2e67c55d8bb92576d506c90db719bed3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$6.04
Total PnL
$-16.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Rudy Gobert win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$1.00Jan 15, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?$1.00Jan 15, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Jan 15, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.01Jan 15, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?$1.01Dec 26, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.01Dec 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.01Dec 10, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".