Flippant-Flick
0xc74f0e9396015aeba6cb8f098207794cae678ebb
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$15.49
Total PnL
$-350.22
Realised
$-1.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.81
$-0.19
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.18
$1.02
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- NO
Fed rate cut in 2025?
813 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-89.90
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
303 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 31?
85 shares @ 76.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-65.00
- UP
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on December 31?
32 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 31?
22 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
20 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00Jun 2, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$7.77Jun 2, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland$18.89Jun 1, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$7.41Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland$9.02May 31, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.17May 31, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$1.28May 31, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$2.19May 31, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$2.40May 31, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$8.99May 17, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$6.00May 17, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 17, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$6.00May 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.00May 17, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$13.22May 17, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$13.64May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3.07May 16, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$10.13May 16, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$6.59Apr 30, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$6.75Apr 30, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 19:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.