Thin-Tiara
0xc757850237e266d3b08d16b8455777a88590ccfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$41.4K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
30000 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$29.9K
$55.02
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5140 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.1K
$-3.95
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
4694 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.7K
$7.04
- UNDER
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5
1746 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.7K
$-6.72
- NO
Will White House post 20-39 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$9.99
$0.00
- UNDER
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5
391 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-133.98
- UNDER
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5
238 shares @ 92.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-220.46
- YES
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?
200 shares @ 91.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-183.59
- UNDER
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$813.85Jun 14, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5$1.7KJun 14, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$29.73Jun 14, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$117.00Jun 14, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$29.73Jun 14, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$99.86Jun 14, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$29.73Jun 14, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$911.93Jun 14, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$39.62Jun 14, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$337.93Jun 14, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$712.53Jun 14, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$198.20Jun 14, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$397.50Jun 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$110.11Jun 14, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$132.13Jun 14, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$110.11Jun 14, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$132.13Jun 14, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$126.63Jun 14, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$126.63Jun 14, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$220.22Jun 14, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$51.4K
Trades
5
Buy share
51%
Window
May 29, 03:10 UTC → Jun 11, 18:17 UTC
- BUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$10.0K@100¢Jun 11, 18:17 UTC
- SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$15.0K@100¢May 31, 13:11 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.5K@99¢May 31, 09:25 UTC
- SELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$10.0K@100¢May 31, 09:25 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$6.0K@100¢May 29, 03:01 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$10.0K
1 trades
30d volume
$51.4K
5 trades
Buy share
51%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
$15.0K · 29% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.