Fumbling-Prune
0xc75991ff604ab2e8fa6c86cf1bba4a5cb6b85789
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$19.98
Total PnL
$-1.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on January 27?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$19.98
$0.02
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 11, 12AM ET
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 1AM ET
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on January 27?$19.96Jan 27, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?$5.03Jan 27, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$14.46Jan 27, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$600.00Dec 13, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$5.0KDec 13, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$3.0KDec 13, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$187.71Dec 13, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$143.64Dec 13, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$28.81Dec 13, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$6.94Dec 13, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$261.74Dec 13, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$100.90Dec 13, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$17.76Dec 13, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$999.00Dec 13, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$17.03Dec 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$7.99Dec 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$17.07Dec 13, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$226.77Dec 13, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$205.37Dec 13, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET$422.85Dec 13, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $337.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 04:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.