Unlawful-Ascot
0xc759c3b061fe7bd5cccf8891f5dbe2f8b604b965
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$191.42
Total PnL
$-184.34
Realised
$-114.25
Win rate
24%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
92238 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$46.12
$-46.12
- YES
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
171 shares @ 20.4¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.27
$-1.48
- YES
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30?
41 shares @ 32.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.16
$-1.04
- YES
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
87 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.90
$0.44
- YES
Glean IPO before 2027?
65 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.76
$-0.42
- YES
Vanta IPO before 2027?
74 shares @ 13.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.02
$-0.00
- YES
Ramp IPO before 2027?
84 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.85
$0.42
- YES
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $145B by June 30?
43 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.86
$-0.17
- YES
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30?
50 shares @ 15.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.25
$-2.50
- YES
Deel IPO before 2027?
114 shares @ 10.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.14
$-6.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMistral AI IPO before 2027?$8.75Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by June 30?$3.80Jun 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by June 30?$4.41Jun 13, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?$0.42Jun 13, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?$0.64Jun 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?$1.92Jun 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?$0.96Jun 13, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?$2.04Jun 13, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?$10.58Jun 13, 02:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$21.33Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by June 30?$2.20Jun 12, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by June 30?$2.20Jun 12, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?$9.80Jun 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLFannie Mae IPO before 2027?$1.72Jun 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?$4.13Jun 12, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?$4.04Jun 12, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?$5.60Jun 12, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?$2.60Jun 12, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.