Handsome-Sled-Nurture
0xc75e3dddec7162d8bb5c015f7d6f81896b3a8ea7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-201.84
Realised
$-6.97
Win rate
1%
100 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?
192 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$6.25Jul 18, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.11Jul 18, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$3.20Jul 18, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.30Jul 18, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$3.46Jul 18, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.55Jul 18, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$4.92Jul 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 100 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
100 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 100 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.