Elated-Kid
0xc765ffeea972c0f4536ff5aa6a3e1380d1a40438
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.77
Total PnL
$-625.57
Realised
$35.54
Win rate
75%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.77
$0.09
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
5181 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on March 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1708 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on March 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on March 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-02?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
658 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
518 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
391 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.00May 15, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$5.22Apr 30, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$4.80Apr 30, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$3.12Apr 30, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$0.93Apr 30, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.25Apr 30, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$7.63Apr 30, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.26Apr 30, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.24Apr 29, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$6.54Apr 29, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.26Apr 29, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.31Apr 29, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.23Apr 29, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$10.51Apr 29, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.22Apr 29, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.25Apr 29, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.25Apr 29, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$6.69Apr 29, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.23Apr 29, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$3.73Apr 29, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.