Frugal-Noodles-Antler
0xc7697d4a2bb105e81c3c2b446c8aea3ea0ba8316
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.7K
Realised
$368.13
Win rate
9%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- FRANCE
Spread: France (-1.5)
17396 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.9K
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
11538 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- ARGENTINA
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
10349 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
8406 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
6868 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
6635 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
6550 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- GERMANY
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
6009 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
5426 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
4071 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$43.71Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.22Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$3.0KJul 5, 19:09 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$19.09Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$10.0KJul 4, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$92.13Jul 4, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$172.59Jul 4, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?$51.14Jul 4, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?$101.89Jul 4, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.8KJul 4, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$3.1KJul 4, 17:22 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$24.83Jul 4, 11:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$3.0KJul 3, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$810.32Jul 3, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-2.5)$4.5KJul 3, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$5.3KJul 3, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$1.0KJul 3, 20:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.