Grandiose-Amount
0xc777e9522df036f573ace09a4f40b3801d232e75
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.33
Realised
$-2.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
205 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
15 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$9.00May 26, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Iran before July?$0.89May 26, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$7.84May 26, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELL50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?$0.23May 26, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Biden" this week?$0.24May 26, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?$17.73May 23, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$17.66May 23, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" this week?$1.70May 23, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$1.01May 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$1.00May 22, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran before July?$1.00May 22, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$1.00May 20, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?$1.00May 20, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00May 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before June?$12.14May 20, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.40May 20, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before June?$10.00May 19, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$20.00May 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$1.3KMay 19, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?$1.00May 17, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $62.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".