Ultimate-Guide
0xc781e7d3c08691e874d8721cbb598a42a1fd98f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-31.95
Win rate
0%
161 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
62 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.92
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
40 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
35 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
34 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.14
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
33 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
27 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.67Aug 13, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.43Aug 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$4.07Aug 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.70Aug 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.20Aug 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.12Aug 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.10Aug 13, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$7.00Aug 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$4.62Aug 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.50Aug 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.30Aug 13, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$13.14Aug 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$0.28Aug 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.41Aug 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$3.15Aug 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$0.53Aug 13, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$10.00Aug 13, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$3.86Aug 13, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.00Aug 12, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$3.96Aug 12, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 161 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
161 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 161 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.