Hospitable-Controversy
0xc783f1f7a66a22dec32413eb5573d06fcacd028f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-374.28
Realised
$-14.29
Win rate
0%
90 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
89 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
74 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
61 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
57 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
28 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
27 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
27 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$4.60Aug 18, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$4.04Aug 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$4.17Aug 18, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$5.56Aug 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$4.08Aug 18, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$5.88Aug 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$4.09Aug 18, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$4.07Aug 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$4.08Aug 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$4.25Aug 18, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$7.69Aug 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$4.13Aug 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$4.49Aug 17, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$4.03Aug 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$4.20Aug 17, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$4.26Aug 17, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.80Aug 17, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$4.09Aug 17, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$4.08Aug 17, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$5.33Aug 17, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 90 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
90 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 90 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.