Complicated-Towtruck
0xc78acec6163d81a256dedd2e1c68e903b8c1f494
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$16.01
Total PnL
$-20.96
Realised
$-21.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Manchester United wins the Premier League?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.77
$0.00
- NO
Will Atassut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$1.45
$0.01
- NO
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$1.31
$0.01
- NO
ECB increases interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2025$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.23
$0.00
- NO
Will 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.21
$0.00
- NO
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$1.18
$0.01
- NO
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$1.13
$0.00
- NO
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.13
$0.01
- NO
50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2025$1.12
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?$124.78Feb 26, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.18Feb 26, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.25Feb 26, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?$1.04Feb 21, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland?$1.08Feb 21, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.14Feb 21, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.21Feb 21, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.21Feb 21, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.12Feb 21, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$1.17Feb 21, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$1.13Feb 21, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLTottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?$2.8KFeb 21, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino win Eurovision 2025?$1.30Feb 21, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?$1.11Feb 21, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$1.12Feb 21, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB increases interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$1.24Feb 21, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLTottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?$2.1KFeb 21, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$21.0KFeb 21, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$1.23Feb 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?$5.0KFeb 20, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".