Humble-Jelly
0xc79a320b49225364c08c9ff14644ea819b837b84
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$10.37
Total PnL
$1.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.00Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'BUCCHIGIRI?!' win Crunchyroll's Best Original Anime Award for 2025?$0.00Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill USDC grow more than USDT in May?$1.09Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill EU increase sanctions on Russia before July?$1.14Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on May 15 at 5 PM ET?$1.22Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $103K on May 15 at 5 PM ET?$1.23Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMLee Jae-myung out as Democratic Party presidential candidate?$2.10Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMenendez brother released from custody before August?$3.00May 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.00May 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung out as Democratic Party presidential candidate?$2.00May 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC grow more than USDT in May?$1.00May 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'BUCCHIGIRI?!' win Crunchyroll's Best Original Anime Award for 2025?$1.00May 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EU increase sanctions on Russia before July?$1.00May 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $103K on May 15 at 5 PM ET?$1.00May 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on May 15 at 5 PM ET?$1.00May 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJustin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?$1.00May 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJustin Bieber rehab in 2025?$1.00May 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJustin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?$1.99May 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJustin Bieber rehab in 2025?$2.00May 15, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.