Monumental-Prevalence-Tooth
0xc79ade608a48fab064d8b05bb95083a43b87760c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$9.10
Total PnL
$-331.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
125 shares @ 4.8¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
107 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.41
$-0.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
2067 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
1269 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
473 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
325 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
225 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$2.13May 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.14May 23, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.14May 23, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.14May 23, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.14May 23, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.13May 23, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$6.25May 23, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.10May 23, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$11.63May 23, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$10.10May 23, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$10.62May 23, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.11May 23, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.11May 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$2.13May 23, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.31May 23, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.