Sophisticated-Fir
0xc79eb781fc20817a79e714469f482aca1f86bb18
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.64
Total PnL
$-212.55
Realised
$-5.29
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on January 7?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
1043 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
670 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
507 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
432 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
404 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$5.14May 30, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$5.14May 30, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$10.25May 30, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$51.03May 29, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLCanadiens vs. Lightning$60.91May 4, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$5.09May 3, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$20.35May 3, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Feb 26, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$0.00Feb 26, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$10.00Feb 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 23:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".