Triangular-Halfbrother
0xc7a3bbdf1036f9aa62e3323fbc90ca6a97c77b06
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$4.86
Total PnL
$-159.80
Realised
$-3.38
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?
9 shares @ 46.1¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$4.86
$0.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 1?
626 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 6?
213 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 27?
72 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 21?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 26?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on April 28?
43 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 3?
28 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 28?
19 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 29?$1.64Jul 29, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?$2.05Jul 29, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?$2.06Jul 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 28, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 29?$0.44Jul 28, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 18?$1.04Jul 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 18?$0.49Jul 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 18?$1.03Jul 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 18?$0.25Jul 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 18?$1.03Jul 17, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?$0.63Jul 17, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 17?$1.18Jul 17, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 17?$0.64Jul 17, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 17?$1.01Jul 16, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 17?$0.00Jul 16, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 17?$1.04Jul 16, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?$1.03Jul 16, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 17?$1.04Jul 16, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16?$1.20Jul 16, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 22:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.