Discrete-Optimist
0xc7a9792498f49da70bf78b8dc9273e1f03b87201
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-70.83
Realised
$4.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
78 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: September
68 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?
67 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?
62 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
56 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$7.00Nov 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.20Nov 8, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$5.76Nov 8, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$4.00Nov 8, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $4.95Oct 30, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET$8.89Oct 25, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$8.89Oct 25, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET$3.00Oct 25, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET$5.10Oct 25, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET$3.57Oct 25, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET$3.58Oct 25, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET$2.00Oct 25, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET$1.00Oct 25, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET$1.00Oct 25, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$2.00Oct 25, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$2.00Oct 25, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.74Oct 25, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussian strike on Poland by December 31?$3.00Oct 25, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$1.16Oct 25, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$1.11Oct 25, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.