Whole-Draft
0xc7aa5e79847786a6acc381befe4e0e0719e6d0f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.2K
Realised
$-7.3K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Obama divorce in 2025?
22794 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
20000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
16346 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.9K
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
5099 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Susan Crawford win by 6-8%?
4000 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-186.46
- YES
Will Susan Crawford win by 2-4%?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2000 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?
2000 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-132.41
- YES
Will Susan Crawford win by less than 2%?
2000 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-438.38
- YES
Will Susan Crawford win by 4-6%?
1000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-21.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$0.00May 12, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$0.00May 12, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?$0.00May 12, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$0.00May 12, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?$0.00Apr 30, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$3.4KApr 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$1.8KApr 20, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$819.00Apr 20, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$2.9KApr 20, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$3.6KApr 18, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Randy Fine win by 20-25%?$0.00Apr 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$211.60Apr 16, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greenland vote for independence in 2025?$0.00Apr 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$2.2KApr 11, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut in 2025?$21.00Apr 9, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok sale announced before May?$84.85Apr 9, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?$594.83Apr 8, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$1.49Apr 7, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$4.94Apr 7, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok sale announced before May?$100.00Apr 7, 21:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $521.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".