Round-Manacle
0xc7b886ac11a92bcfceaea73dc39a365d3defa3c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-173.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
808 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-163.30
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
354 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 14, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$385.60Apr 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$12.00Apr 12, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$11.59Apr 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$136.30Apr 8, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$15.00Mar 25, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$255.62Mar 24, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $64.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.