Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-25.91

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 11

YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026
$0.00
$-6.00
YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
1143 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$0.00
$-3.00
YES
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026
$0.00
$-3.00
NO
Will "Palantir" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 14?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
11 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026
$0.00
$-3.95
YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 16, 08:05 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$1.00Mar 15, 21:56 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$4.76Mar 14, 14:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$12.33Mar 14, 14:29 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$12.36Mar 14, 14:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$10.81Mar 14, 14:28 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 14?$1.00Mar 14, 14:26 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$11.05Mar 14, 14:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$8.00Mar 14, 14:20 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$7.87Mar 14, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.00Mar 14, 14:15 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.06Mar 14, 14:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$3.00Mar 14, 14:11 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00Mar 14, 14:09 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00Mar 14, 14:08 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$3.62Mar 14, 14:08 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00Mar 14, 14:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.00Mar 14, 14:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$4.00Mar 14, 14:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00Mar 14, 14:00 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity37 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry18 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk46 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 30
Avg trade size: $4.13
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 13, 22:09 UTC
Last active: Mar 16, 08:05 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 21:20:31 UTC·src:Polymarket Data