Witty-Farming
0xc7bcbd835ec628afdf80ea49d31397c03a95e82a
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-180.79
Realised
$21.15
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?
1603 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
469 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-109.41
- YES
Will Solana reach $200 in January?
235 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
213 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
168 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
145 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.23
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
104 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5PM ET
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11PM ET$0.00Jul 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11PM ET$6.18Jul 5, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5PM ET$5.31Jul 4, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4PM ET$11.50Jul 4, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4PM ET$5.03Jul 4, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3PM ET$1.07Jul 4, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2PM ET$5.36Jul 4, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2PM ET$3.09Jul 4, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1PM ET$5.35Jul 4, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.37Jul 4, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$25.57Jul 4, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 24, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$40.00Jan 23, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$28.73Jan 23, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro exiled to Russia by March 31?$3.65Jan 23, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro trial scheduled by January 31?$4.00Jan 23, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$4.34Jan 23, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$24.41Jan 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$24.95Jan 17, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.