0xc7c529dbeab404267eebd9c21944273484054415
0xc7c529dbeab404267eebd9c21944273484054415
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.11
Total PnL
$-111.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 27.5¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.11
$-0.81
- NO
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score
46 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-23.07
- YES
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?
36 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-21.89
- NO
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
34 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-17.05
- NO
Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?
17 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-12.44
- NO
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-04-18?
14 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.43
- OVER
CR Flamengo vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
13 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.74
- LIGHTNING
Rangers vs. Lightning
11 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.28
- OVER
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- SANTOS FC
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$0.48May 14, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$1.96May 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.16May 13, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMLevante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5$0.10Apr 27, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$0.63Apr 22, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCR Flamengo vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5$7.84Apr 19, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner$8.08Apr 19, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner$5.63Apr 19, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs$5.60Apr 19, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nagoya Grampus vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?$12.44Apr 19, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-18?$11.60Apr 19, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score$23.42Apr 18, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$17.31Apr 18, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMChelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$43.09Apr 18, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-18?$7.31Apr 18, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs$2.90Apr 18, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.50Apr 18, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner$11.87Apr 18, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner$8.62Apr 18, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?$8.66Apr 18, 18:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.