Crisp-Guarantee
0xc7cb899d92df9c2adcde79577ab313a282545fbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$230.00
Total PnL
$-126.80
Realised
$27.85
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
120 shares @ 42.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$120.00
$69.00
- NO
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$69.00
- YES
Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
10 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$3.40
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
220 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-101.10
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
210 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-82.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
200 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-34.57
- YES
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?
168 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.78
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?
150 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
80 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-35.10
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?
45 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-14.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?$31.00Apr 29, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?$22.50Apr 20, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$12.57Apr 20, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$24.93Apr 20, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?$6.60Apr 18, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$0.19Apr 11, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$4.41Apr 10, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$2.73Apr 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$10.00Apr 9, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?$15.00Mar 31, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?$8.00Mar 30, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?$8.00Mar 30, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$41.00Mar 30, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$41.00Mar 30, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$36.00Mar 29, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$3.00Mar 29, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?$9.00Mar 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$23.00Mar 28, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$21.00Mar 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$10.00Mar 28, 06:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".