Sardonic-Original
0xc7d20bfc394e198ff0a9c26ceb16534e6a51e4de
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.1K
Realised
$-48.21
Win rate
47%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
2519 shares @ 69.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
1910 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
1279 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-477.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
1048 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
833 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-399.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
808 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
733 shares @ 66.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-487.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
557 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-289.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
538 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$3.75Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00Jul 29, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.02Jul 29, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.03Jul 29, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.55Jul 29, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.57Jul 29, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.56Jul 29, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.51Jul 29, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.03Jul 29, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.11Jul 29, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.42Jul 29, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.37Jul 29, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$19.20Jul 29, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$19.21Jul 29, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$20.11Jul 29, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$20.10Jul 29, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$10.87Jul 29, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$10.86Jul 29, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$51.31Jul 29, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.17Jul 29, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
70 closed markets, 47% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.