Exciting-Impropriety
0xc7d50e54396d1a87e9d713d9a87646f0f6d9cced
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.72
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$496.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$493.25
$-2.75
- NO
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
30 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$29.93
$0.07
- NO
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
30 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$29.52
$0.16
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$27.90
$0.12
- NO
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
25 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$24.96
$0.25
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$24.53
$-0.06
- NO
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
20 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$19.38
$-0.21
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 97.1¢·now 96.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.32
$-0.10
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$18.66
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$437.53May 18, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$4.02May 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by June 30?$2.01May 18, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$10.25May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$8.52May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$9.76May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by June 30?$4.03May 18, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$2.99May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by June 30?$3.81May 18, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$58.47May 17, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$496.28May 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$9.90May 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by June 30?$0.60May 17, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$9.96May 17, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$10.00May 17, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$21.40May 17, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$9.98May 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$0.98May 17, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$9.00May 17, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$4.79May 17, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $29.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".