Sure-Footed-Crystal
0xc7d7077abf0a0833e173d648708082645c04583d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-49.04
Realised
$-12.50
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on March 30?
210 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on March 30?
66 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 30?
60 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 30?
30 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on March 30?
29 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on March 30?
26 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 73°F or below on March 30?
16 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 29?
13 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on March 29?
11 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 30?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 30?$2.11Mar 30, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 30?$0.04Mar 30, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31?$0.08Mar 30, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on March 30?$1.16Mar 30, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 30?$3.62Mar 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on March 30?$0.68Mar 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on March 30?$0.22Mar 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 30?$10.00Mar 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 30?$0.50Mar 30, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on March 30?$1.07Mar 30, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 30?$0.79Mar 30, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 73°F or below on March 30?$2.24Mar 30, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 30?$1.98Mar 30, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 30?$0.30Mar 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 30?$0.30Mar 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on March 30?$0.13Mar 30, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on March 30?$1.04Mar 30, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 30?$0.96Mar 30, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 30?$0.30Mar 30, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 30?$0.96Mar 30, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.