Wallet digest

active

Activity score

36/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-13.9K

Realised

$-581.96

Win rate

15%

26 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 58

YES
Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?
10131 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025
$0.00
$-384.98
YES
Will Elon tweet 250–264 times August 29–September 5?
9069 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025
$0.00
$-428.04
YES
Will Elon tweet 265–279 times August 29–September 5?
9069 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025
$0.00
$-428.04
YES
Will Elon tweet 325–339 times August 29–September 5?
9069 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025
$0.00
$-428.04
YES
Will Elon tweet 340–354 times August 29–September 5?
9069 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025
$0.00
$-428.04
YES
Will Elon tweet 355–369 times August 29–September 5?
9069 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025
$0.00
$-428.04
YES
Will Elon tweet 370–384 times August 29–September 5?
9069 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025
$0.00
$-428.04
YES
Will Elon tweet 280–294 times August 29–September 5?
9069 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025
$0.00
$-428.04
YES
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times August 29–September 5?
9069 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025
$0.00
$-428.04
YES
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times August 29–September 5?
9069 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025
$0.00
$-428.04

Recent activity

REDEEMWill Elon tweet 175–189 times August 29–September 5?$0.15Nov 4, 09:57 UTC
REDEEMWill Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$78.01Nov 4, 09:57 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$696.00Aug 30, 11:51 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$58.00Aug 30, 09:37 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$460.00Aug 30, 09:21 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$69.18Aug 30, 09:18 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$32.23Aug 30, 09:15 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$15.59Aug 30, 08:58 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$152.49Aug 30, 08:51 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$0.22Aug 30, 08:33 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$8.37Aug 30, 08:32 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$261.41Aug 30, 08:31 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 130–144 times August 29–September 5?$4.35Aug 30, 08:28 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 115–129 times August 29–September 5?$4.07Aug 30, 08:28 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 100–114 times August 29–September 5?$4.07Aug 30, 08:27 UTC
CONVERSIONElon Musk # of tweets August 29 - September 5? $4.1KAug 30, 08:26 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 175–189 times August 29–September 5?$4.0KAug 30, 08:26 UTC
REDEEMWill Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?$0.75Aug 29, 19:48 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 160–174 times August 29–September 5?$99.95Aug 29, 18:57 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 145–159 times August 29–September 5?$18.23Aug 29, 18:56 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence87 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry2 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk41 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $367.65
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Aug 29, 10:35 UTC
Last active: Nov 4, 09:57 UTC
Win rate sample: 26 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 12:42:56 UTC·src:Polymarket Data