Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.6K

Realised

$25.36

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 69

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12PM ET
1075 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-120.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
530 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-35.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4PM ET
442 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-99.66
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
378 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-172.02
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
371 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025
$0.00
$-101.65
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
331 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-114.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
319 shares @ 45.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025
$0.00
$-146.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
304 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025
$0.00
$-130.15

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill Bolivia win on 2026-03-31?$40.37Apr 1, 03:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.00Apr 1, 02:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$6.00Apr 1, 02:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 01:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 01:44 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$59.44Apr 1, 01:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$35.54Apr 1, 01:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$10.00Apr 1, 01:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$16.25Mar 24, 07:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$24.92Mar 24, 07:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$5.00Mar 24, 07:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$10.00Mar 24, 06:55 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$56.17Mar 24, 06:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$38.49Mar 24, 06:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$10.00Mar 24, 06:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$20.00Mar 24, 06:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$20.00Mar 24, 06:29 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$23.40Mar 24, 06:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$5.00Mar 24, 06:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$12.00Mar 24, 06:07 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry38 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk53 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $36.49
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Nov 15, 17:58 UTC
Last active: Apr 1, 03:15 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:00:43 UTC·src:Polymarket Data