Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-14.0K

Realised

$31.73

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 38

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
2652 shares @ 94.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-2.5K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
1424 shares @ 91.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
1375 shares @ 79.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-1.1K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
1233 shares @ 80.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-993.88
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
1176 shares @ 93.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-1.1K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
1119 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-492.41
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
1088 shares @ 91.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026
$0.00
$-998.57
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
916 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-612.52
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
801 shares @ 87.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-697.65
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
686 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-394.22

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.5KFeb 16, 16:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.5KFeb 16, 14:58 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$876.02Feb 16, 14:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$500.00Feb 16, 14:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$300.00Feb 16, 14:09 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$158.16Feb 16, 13:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$500.00Feb 16, 13:53 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$131.99Feb 16, 13:52 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.7KFeb 16, 13:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$100.00Feb 16, 13:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1000.00Feb 16, 13:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$200.00Feb 16, 13:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$300.00Feb 16, 13:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1000.00Feb 16, 13:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.5KFeb 16, 13:33 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$798.56Feb 16, 13:23 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 13:23 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$3.3KFeb 16, 13:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$600.00Feb 16, 13:13 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$258.46Feb 16, 13:08 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry53 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk63 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 35
Avg trade size: $827.62
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 16, 08:22 UTC
Last active: Feb 16, 16:30 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:41:33 UTC·src:Polymarket Data