Bony-Vanity
0xc80321eacaf9ca1f44eaece8d842f1e6b96e3349
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$51.35
Total PnL
$-5.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
51 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$51.35
$13.35
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
64 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 15?$38.00Aug 1, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$1.00Jan 18, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?$4.00Jan 18, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30?$14.00Jan 13, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$0.00Jan 13, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a US Government shutdown? $0.00Jan 13, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMSteelers vs. Ravens$54.05Jan 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSteelers vs. Ravens$40.00Dec 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $20.00Dec 18, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $99.55Dec 18, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$12.10Dec 18, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Raptors$113.45Dec 18, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMNo Israel strike Iran by Sunday Oct 20?$0.00Dec 16, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$0.00Dec 16, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Raptors$50.00Dec 16, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Raptors$5.00Dec 16, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Raptors$5.00Dec 16, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$81.29Oct 30, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Iran on Wednesday Oct 16?$14.07Oct 17, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Iran on Wednesday Oct 16?$67.22Oct 17, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $23.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.