Thin-Fire
0xc8082b4c50c5a8b2b03f6da6d5018443e4d3a2e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$6.17
Total PnL
$-21.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 29.3¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$1.63
$0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 6?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 6?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on June 6?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 1-7?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?
139 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 5?$7.87Jun 5, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 5?$1.06Jun 5, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?$1.06Jun 5, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 6?$1.04Jun 5, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 6?$1.05Jun 5, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on June 6?$1.05Jun 5, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 6?$1.05Jun 5, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.17Jun 4, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 4?$1.07Jun 4, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 4?$1.07Jun 4, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4?$1.06Jun 4, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?$1.04Jun 4, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 1-7?$1.07Jun 4, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$5.28Jun 4, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$1.06Jun 4, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,750 on June 3?$3.13Jun 4, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?$1.04Jun 4, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 4, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,750 on June 3?$1.05Jun 4, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 4, 01:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".